I’ll take the under in this game as this total is ridiculously high. Texas Tech is not going to score close to their season average of 46.4 points. The last 6 bowl games for LSU they have held their opponents well under their season average. This is an LSU secondary that has improved as the season has gone along. It took a bit of time with Kevin Steele’s new defense, but I like where this team finished, and they ranked top 30 in nearly every pass defense category. Tech’s offense was not nearly explosive against the top teams on their schedule in West Virginia, Baylor, and Oklahoma the top 3 defenses in the Big 12 they averaged just 29.33 ppg. All 3 of those teams like to play with tempo (top 15 in plays per game) while LSU is one of the slower teams in the nation ranking 125th in pace.

LSU will absolutely dictate the pace in this game with their running game. Texas Tech is one of the worst run defenses in the nation although I think they will be better prepared for the bowl game to stop the run, and it will help playing a one dimensional offense. At the end of the day I don’t see how this total goes over given these facts. I don’t have a strong feeling on the line as the SEC has gone 0-2 vs. the Big 12 this year and Texas Tech has already beaten an SEC team that LSU has lost to. Many feel the SEC is down this year, I disagree I think there was just more parity, but I will wait and see before I back them and I certainly don’t want to lay 8 points the first time I do. I do have a lot of confidence in the coaching in this conference, and Les Miles has proven his teams come to play defense in bowl games. The last 5 opponents have averaged 10.15 ppg under their season average.

Where to find Freddy?